• 13
    2021-10
    China’s M&A Market Report Q2’21
    In Q2’21 as many countries were unlocked with the vaccine promotion, global financial markets began to have high liquidity, the interest rates in various countries remained stable, and the global stock markets rose. World economies have seen diverged trends depending on their recovery from the pandemic. China's economy in Q2’21 continued its strong recovery in the previous quarter, with a real GDP growth rate of 7.9%. In terms of trade, China's trade surplus in goods was 882.8 billion yuan, down 17.4% YoY. In addition, the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds was 1.5%, down 20bp from the end of last quarter. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that the economic growth of the U.S. will be as high as 7.0% in 2021, the highest in decades. At the exchange rate level, the US dollar continued to fluctuate within a narrow range, the Japanese yen continued to depreciate, and the RMB exchange rate was relatively stable. The exchange rates of emerging economies with high financial fragility, such as Argentina and Turkey, continued to depreciate, while those of BRICS countries generally appreciated. After the Federal Reserve's meeting on interest rates in June 2021, the yield of long-term U.S. treasury bonds showed a downward trend. If monetary policy easing began to tighten marginally, it would exert great pressure on the stock market's rebound. On the whole, the variants of Covid-19 pose a challenge to the global economic recovery.
  • 06
    2021-09
    2021年第二季度中国并购市场报告
    2021年第二季度,疫苗推广带来多国解封,全球金融市场流动性充裕,各国货币市场利率保持稳定,全球股市普遍上涨,各国随着疫情修复的形势而出现了分化的趋势。2021年第二季度,中国经济延续了上一季度强劲恢复的态势,实际GDP增速为7.9%。贸易方面,中国货物贸易顺差额为人民币8,828亿元,同比下降17.4%。此外,十年期美国国债收益率为1.45%,较上一季度末下降20bp。国际货币基金组织(IMF)预测2021年美国经济增长将高达7.0%,为数十年来最高值。汇率层面,美元持续窄幅波动,日元持续贬值,人民币汇率相对稳定;新兴经济体货币方面,金融脆弱性高的新兴经济体如阿根廷、土耳其汇率持续贬值,金砖国家普遍升值。2021年6月美联储议息会议后,美国长期国债收益率呈下行趋势,若货币政策宽松力度开始边际收紧,将会对股市回调产生较大压力。整体而言,变异病毒株对全球经济复苏形成挑战。
  • 30
    2021-08
    China’s M&A Market Report Q1’21Zero2IPO
    In Q1’21, with a variety of vaccines available on the market, the global economy has rebounded on an accelerated track after registering positive growth in the fourth quarter of 2020, but performance of different countries varies greatly. 2021 marks the start of China's 14th Five-Year Plan period and China's economy is enjoying a sustained and stable recovery. In Q1’20, China's GDP experienced negative growth, down by 6.8% YoY. In Q1’21, China's GDP increased significantly YoY and the trade surplus expanded. The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield increased by an average of 47bp compared with the previous quarter. The U.S. dollar depreciated first and then rose; the British pound was relatively stable, the Australian dollar depreciated slightly, and the euro and the yen depreciated by a large margin. The currency exchange rates of most emerging economies rose first and then fell, with little fluctuation over Q4’20. Capital flew back to the United States, and emerging economies were facing the challenge of capital outflow. U.S. stocks began to diverge with the Dow Jones Industrial Index continuing to rise and the Nasdaq Index beginning to go downward. In the latest issue of the World Economic Outlook Report, IMF’s projections for the global economic growth for 2021 and 2022 grew, which may cause widening gap in living standards among countries. China's GDP has returned to the pre-Covid level and the United States is expected to return to the level before the outbreak this year, but many emerging markets will not return to the pre-pandemic level until 2023. Overall, the global economy is projected to grow 6% in 2021 and 4.4% in 2022. While the global economy became stabilized, the recovery process is divided and uncertain.
  • 02
    2021-06
    2021年第一季度中国并购市场研究报告
    2021年一季度国内生产总值(GDP)同比增长18.3%,两年平均增长5.0%,居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比持平,进出口贸易增长势头稳健。随着国内疫情的逐渐恢复,我国经济呈现稳定恢复态势,稳中加固、稳中向好,供给量增质升,需求持续回暖,市场活力不断释放。但是,本季度并购市场整体受春节假期影响导致走势较低。
  • 14
    2021-04
    China’s M&A Market Report 2020
    In 2020, the global M&A market fell as a whole due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, and different regions differ greatly in MA& activity. Statistics from Mergermarket, an independent M&A market information provider, show that the popularity of M&A activities worldwide decreased in 2020 to only 17,545 transactions, down 15.5% YoY and the total M&A value was about US$3.16 trillion, down 6.6% YoY. In terms of regions, North America saw the largest drop in M&A value, with only US$1.32 trillion, down 22.6% YoY; Europe had a value of US$0.85 trillion, up 5.6% YoY; M&A transactions in the Asia-Pacific region (excl. Japan) totaled US$0.83 trillion, up 29.8% YoY; Latin America and MEA (Middle East and Africa) contributed US$59.3 billion and US$96.9 billion respectively, down 30.8% and 32.6% respectively.
  • 22
    2021-03
    2020年中国并购市场研究报告
    2020中国并购市场全年共发生并购事件1,893起,涉及总金额12,111.77亿元,分别同比上升3.3%、19.6%。尽管2020年是黑天鹅事件频发的一年,但也是中国资本市场改革的关键一年。伴随着上交所科创板注册制常态化运行、深交所创业板试点注册制稳步落地,企业上市的通道逐步放开,通过资本市场实现业务整合升级的能力也逐步增强。全球范围内量化宽松的大环境和国内资本市场的改革带来的上市公司资金充裕小环境互相叠加,为并购市场带来了充足的“干火药”,进而推动了并购市场交易规模的回暖。 并购市场的变化也体现在被并购的热门行业向科创领域的倾斜。以被并购方统计,全年数量前三位的行业分别为机械制造(216起,+36.7%)、IT(182起,+14.5%)以及生物技术/医疗健康(153起,-13.6%)。上述行业与近期多项政策所支持的科技创新领域具有高度重合性,体现出本轮并购热潮在定位上更加偏重于科创相关实体经济领域。 并购市场金额集中于金融、机械制造和能源及矿产三个一级行业。自2018年以来持续开展的金融风险控制与金融供给侧改革推动了相关机构与企业的重组进程,间接推高了2020年金融领域的并购额度。 地理分布方面,2020年并购市场的地域集中特征更为明显。前20位地区的案例数占总并购数量的比例为87.7%,较2019年上升2.3个百分点,前20位总金额占比为90.0%,上升2.6个百分点。 国内外并购市场呈现了冰火两重天的景象。跨国并购的两大分支——外资交易(外买内)和海外交易(内买外)分别受制于美国政府对华投资设限、“长臂管辖”制裁、并购审查趋严等逆全球化贸易政策而开展困难。
  • 04
    2021-02
    China’s M&A Market Report Q3’20
    In the third quarter of 2020, after falling into recession during the blockade in the second quarter of this year, the global economy is now gradually recovering from negative growth. China’s economy has recovered faster than expected, while global economy has not yet resumed before the epidemic. There were interest rate cuts and exposure to the US dollar by Federal Reserve have increased the pressure on the US dollar to depreciate; the yen and the euro have appreciated; and the average exchange rate of most emerging economies’ currencies has also appreciated. The Federal Reserve issued a stable monetary easing signal and the TED spread remained low, however, US stocks fell sharply in early September, and the VIX index rebounded to more than 30% and it was hard to witness downward trend. In the latest World Economic Outlook Report released by the International Monetary Fund, the global economy has been improved faster by global blockade measures, and its recovery in the third quarter was beyond expectation: The global growth in 2020 is expected to be -4.4%, less than that of -4.9% in June 2020. The IMF predicts that huge negative output gaps and high unemployment will occur in all nations and regions (including developed economies, emerging markets, and developing economies) in 2021. The global economy will grow by 5.2% in 2021, consumption will gradually increase, and corporate investment is expected to pick up but will remain weak.
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